Even if the Golden State Warriors don’t win the NBA Finals, it won’t be 2016.
That year, they led the Finals 3-1 against LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. They’ve lost the last three games, including a historic Game 7. That’s stuck with the franchise.
This isn’t the same situation, but many of the same key figures are some six years later as the team leads the Boston Celtics 3-2 in the NBA Finals. They won’t want to mess around with another Game 7 if they can avoid it.
The Warriors are 3.5 point underdogs at BetMGM against the Celtics for Thursday’s Game 6. Preference for Boston makes sense considering the Celtics are a fantastic team and are facing elimination at home again. But it also ignores a bit how the series went.
The Warriors have suspended Boston’s offense in the last two games. The Celtics failed to reach 100 points in either game, both Warriors wins, which turned the streak on its head. Many of Boston’s offensive problems are self-inflicted as turnovers have piled up. But Golden State has something to do with those sales. Their defense, which is generally underestimated, was fantastic when they took over the series. It looks like Steve Kerr and his associates figured out Boston.
Scoring the points in the NBA Finals, or the playoffs in general, no longer seems prudent. All five finals were decided in double digits. The playoffs as a whole, for whatever reason, were full of one-sided games. It was rare for an outsider to mark and not win. Therefore, Golden State +140 seems like the right track for Thursday night. Suddenly, the Warriors look like the better team, one with the best player in the series (Stephen Curry) and all the momentum.
Basketball fans are hoping for a Boston win and a Game 7. Golden State isn’t about to take its chances.
Here’s a first look at the sports betting schedule for Thursday:
The US Open begins
The US Open started Thursday with Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy as the betting favorites. Here are some tips and value bets from Yahoo’s Jay Busbee and Pamela Maldonado:
Oh yeah, there’s baseball too
Between a fun Game 6 in the NBA and a big golf tournament, baseball has a typical Thursday schedule.
There are nine games on the MLB schedule, including four afternoon games. The best baseball team plays at night when the New York Yankees take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays are usually competitive with the Yankees, but the Yankees won the first two games of the series and have now won six in a row. They have a silly 46-16 record. They are massive -300 favorites against a good Rays team and it looks like this should push bettors to beat the Rays. It’s just hard to fade the Yankees.
What’s the best bet?
As said above, getting the points in the NBA playoffs this season seems like the wrong move. Most games were wrong. So I’m going to hit the money line at +140 with Golden State. This may be the first NBA game in a while where the underdog marks and doesn’t win, but that hasn’t happened very often this postseason. And I believe that the Warriors solved the Celtics.