Gingrich projects 2022 midterms, 2024 presidential elections

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich says he doesn’t expect President Biden to run again in 2024. Photo: adamkaz/E+/Getty Images

The 2022 primary and midterm elections were major talking points at this year’s Pit & Quarry Roundtable & Conference hosted by the magazine at the Chateau Elan in Braselton, Georgia.

Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the US House of Representatives, participated in a virtual roundtable Q&A that addressed business issues related to the aggregates industry. Gingrich also shared his expectations for the 2022 midterm elections and the 2024 presidential election.

The midterms of 2022

Speaking of the Georgia primary on May 24, Gingrich credited Gov. Brian Kemp (R-Georgia) with winning the campaign in his victory over Donald Trump-backed David Perdue. According to Gingrich, Kemp’s win bucked the trend of Trump-backed candidates winning by 95 percent to 96 percent.

“I will give credit to Governor Brian Kemp, who I thought was weak,” he says. “[He] rose to the occasion, ran a great campaign, clinched a crucial win and will beat Stacey Abrams by a wide margin in my opinion. Kemp deserves recognition.”

Still, at the roundtable, Gingrich singled out a number of Trump-backed candidates who will run again next November. Gingrich pointed to the early victories of Republican Senate candidates JD Vance and Dr. Mehmet Oz in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Gingrich also noted Ken Paxton’s victory over George P. Bush in the Texas Republican primary for the position of Paxton’s attorney general.

As for the Democrats, Gingrich says the party is moving further to the left — and to its own detriment. He says there are few, if any, moderates left in the house.

“There are liberals versus the left wing,” says Gingrich. “When [President] Biden supported a liberal Democrat in Oregon and then lost to an AOC (Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-New York))-backed left-wing Democrat.

Even if inflation slows slightly, Gingrich doesn’t expect an improvement until Election Day. High food and gas prices should continue, he says.

According to Gingrich, inflation is one of several issues where Republicans have an advantage. November’s results will boil down to what Gingrich calls “the politics of life” and “the politics of politics.”

“The January 6 Committee is essentially about ‘the politics of politics,'” he says. “The average American doesn’t pay attention, it’s not in their life [and] it doesn’t concern them. The price of gas is “the politics of life”. It’s in the middle [everyone’s] Life.

“All [Republicans] This fall we need to do a campaign in front of grocery stores and gas stations,” adds Gingrich. “I think they will have a big advantage. My personal guess is that the house will be between plus-25 and plus-70 [Republicans]. It could be the biggest Republican victory since 1920. The Senate will probably be plus three or plus four in my opinion [for Republicans].”

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The 2024 presidential election

With a view to the next presidential election, Gingrich does not expect Biden to run for office. He says there’s a chance Trump will run again, but it’s too early to speculate.

“That’s my guess [Biden] either he’s not walking or he’s got a real primary fight,” he says. “On the Republican side, Trump is likely to run if he’s healthy. He’s the most likely candidate, but he’s not sure. [Gov. Ron] DeSantis (R-Florida) could get him a big run.

“Remember, we had this discussion in the spring of 2014,” adds Gingrich. “Not a single person – not me, nobody – would have said, ‘Donald Trump is going to beat 16 Republicans and then Hillary [Clinton].’ Sitting here now saying what will happen in 2024 understates the volatility of where America stands.”

One possible option for Democrats in 2024 is current Vice President Kamala Harris. However, Gingrich doubts her chances of winning the presidency.

“In 2024, the most likely future is Trump versus a Democratic governor,” he says. “Kamala Harris is currently doing quite well among the Democrats. I think she has very little credibility as a Democratic presidential nominee.”

Regardless of who runs on both maps, Gingrich expects a Republican victory in 2024.

“The Democrats cannot change,” he says. “I think they’re trapped. Let me say as a citizen, I think we are in trouble as a country. I think we need very deep reforms.”

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