Campaign Report — Candidates gear up for primary-packed Tuesday

Welcome to The Hill Campaign Reportto follow all things related to the 2022 midterm elections. You can expect this newsletter in your inbox twice a week until the November elections.

Email us tips and feedback at Max Greenwood (mgreenwood@thehill.com), Julia Manchester (jmanchester@thehill.com), Tal Axelrod (taxelrod@thehill.com), Caroline Vakil (cvakil@thehill.com) and Monique Beals (mbeals @thehill.com).

STATE OWNER OF DEFENSE

Seven states will hold primary elections on Tuesday, the biggest – and bluest – of which is California.

Democrats are put to the test in the state, including in the local offices of the San Francisco District Attorney and the Los Angeles Mayor.

In San Francisco, Chesa Boudin (D), whose office has been riddled with resignations and terminations since taking office, is trying to prove that the city’s progressive prosecutor is tough enough on crime. This recall comes amid the failed recall that took place less than a year ago against Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) – in reprimand for his response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Democrats make up about 63 percent of registered voters in San Francisco, according to the city, though Republicans and some Democrats have expressed support for the recall, including some of Boudin’s former prosecutors.

The Los Angeles mayoral race is another race we’re keeping an eye on. The election has garnered significant attention, both for its high-profile endorsement (we’re seeing you, Kim Kardashian) and the sheer expense of a single candidate.

Candidates in the race have received support from a number of top names including Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), House Majority Whip James Clyburn (DS.C.) and Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif. ). of which Democratic frontrunner Karen Bass supports.

Meanwhile, billionaire Rick Caruso has received endorsements from Tesla’s Kardashian and Elon Musk, among others. Caruso also spent tens of millions on his campaign.

Another interesting race to watch? The Iowa Democratic Senate primary between retired US Navy Adm. Mike Franken and former Rep. Abby Finkenauer, the latter of whom was told just two months ago that her name could still be on the Democratic primary ballot.

The greater feat, however, will come when a Democrat is able to make himself a formidable challenger, as Cook Political Report has classified the Senate seat as a “solid Republican” and Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) has served in the upper chamber since 1981 .

If we had a song that would set the tone for Tuesday’s primary, we could throw in Kendrick Lamar’s “Loyalty,” considering how several Republicans are being tested in California.

It’s a secret society

All we ask is trust

(All we ask is trust)

All we have is us

Loyalty, loyalty, loyalty

Loyalty, loyalty, loyalty

Such is definitely the case for Rep. Young Kim (R) and Rep. David Valadao (R), both of whom have been criticized by their peers for either censoring or censoring former President Trump following the deadly Jan. 6 Capitol riots accuse. 2021

The California primary isn’t the only place where Republican loyalty is tested; Rep. Chris Smith (RN.J.), who voted for the bipartisan infrastructure bill passed last year and ultimately angered Trump, fends off a challenge from conservative commentator Mike Crispi.

Although Crispi didn’t get approval from the former president, the Republican nominee has clearly tried to align closely with Trump by posting pictures of the two together on social media.

In Mississippi, incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) has been criticized by his challengers for supporting the establishment of an independent commission to investigate the Capitol riots.

Meanwhile in South Dakota, State Rep. Taffy Howard (R) has criticized Rep. Dusty Johnson’s vote not to unseat vocal Trump critic Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) from her leadership position and support the establishment of the commission.

COUNTDOWN

154 Days until the 2022 midterm elections

SURVEY CLOCK

Americans view abortion as an increasingly important issue, with 27 percent of respondents in a Gallup poll released Monday saying they would only vote for a candidate who shares their views on abortion — three percentage points up from 2020.

Over half of respondents, 54 percent, say they would consider a candidate’s position on abortion an important factor, an increase of four percentage points since 2020.

The poll comes just a month after a leaked draft Supreme Court ruling indicated that the Supreme Court would remove federal abortion protections. A final verdict is expected in the coming weeks.

The leaked ruling has left Democrats in a bind as they do not have the 60 votes needed to codify Roe v. Wade are required.

DISPLAY CLOCK

Campaigns continued rolling out its first general election ads of the cycle on Tuesday.

In Georgia, incumbent Governor Brian Kemp (R) released his campaign spot titled “First.” The ad criticized Democratic candidate Stacey Abrams for her earlier comments calling Georgia “the worst state in the country to live in.”

“Georgia leads the nation because Brian Kemp is governor,” the ad said. “He reopened Georgia first, created thousands of jobs and cut Kemp’s taxes to help families deal with Biden’s inflation. Brain Kemp has made Georgia the best place to live.”

Abrams drew numerous attacks from her Republican critics last month when she made the remarks about Georgia, referring to its ranking of maternal deaths and incarceration rates.

“If you’re #48 in mental health, if you’re #1 in maternal deaths, if you’ve got a rising incarceration rate and falling wages, then you’re not #1 to live in the United States,” Abrams said. “But we can do it. You see, Georgia is capable of greatness. We just need size to be in our governor’s office.”

Meanwhile, Democratic Lt. gov. John Fetterman in northern Pennsylvania ran his first two general election ads during the Senate campaign. In the first ad, titled “Labels,” Fetterman discusses his ties to Pennsylvania, and in the second ad, titled “Washington, DC,” he meets the establishment in the nation’s capital over policies that are harming Pennsylvania communities Has.

Fetterman’s ads come after former hedge fund CEO David McCormick killed Dr. Mehmet Oz in the Commonwealth Republican Senate primary, ushering in the general election. Fetterman also made headlines last week when he revealed he neglected to contact doctors after being diagnosed with a previously undisclosed heart condition in 2017. Fetterman suffered a stroke last month, just days before the Pennsylvania primary.

Meanwhile, on the home races page, the House Democratic PAC published a Spanish-language ad targeting Republican Mayra Flores, who is running in the special election in Texas’ 24th congressional district. The “Lawless” ad links Flores to people involved in the January 6, 2021 Capitol attacks. It will be held at the Media Market in Harlingen, Texas. The ad comes two days ahead of the committee’s much-anticipated televised hearings on Thursday, January 6.

That’s it for today. Thank you for reading. Visit The Hill’s campaign page for the latest news and coverage. Until next time.

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